Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Giroux 54.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 63.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 51.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Kelly
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kelly
Giroux
Last 9: Kelly 4-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
5
Kelly
Giroux
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
53.7% (787)
+5.0%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
55.5% (238)
+44.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
56.7% (157)
-7.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Giroux is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Kelly
Giroux
Home
60.0% (200)
55.8% (604)
Away
55.5% (173)
53.1% (578)
By Period
Kelly
Giroux
P1
55.9%
55.1%
P2
58.4%
51.4%
P3
60.9%
56.4%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |