Claude Giroux vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs McMichael 43.8% (+19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 90.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 83.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 79.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Giroux
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Giroux
McMichael
Last 6: Giroux 4-2 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
McMichael
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
McMichael
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
42.4% (399)
+17.9%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
49.1% (55)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
40.6% (96)
+24.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Giroux
McMichael
Home
65.9% (337)
43.0% (298)
Away
59.1% (318)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Giroux
McMichael
P1
62.1%
46.5%
P2
64.5%
41.1%
P3
60.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |