Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Guentzel 46.3% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 13-1 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 85.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 99.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 95.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Giroux
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
1
(14 meetings)
13
1
Giroux
Guentzel
Last 10: Giroux 9-1 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
1
Giroux
Guentzel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
7
0
Giroux
Guentzel
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
46.3% (685)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
45.7% (291)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
42.9% (42)
+14.5%
On power play, Giroux has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Guentzel is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Giroux
Guentzel
Home
59.2% (10,252)
48.3% (544)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Giroux
Guentzel
P1
57.5%
47.8%
P2
56.2%
45.2%
P3
57.3%
45.3%
OT
51.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |