Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 83.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 98.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 95.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Giroux
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Giroux
Guentzel
Last 10: Giroux 9-1 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
1
Giroux
Guentzel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
0
Giroux
Guentzel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
46.1% (256)
+13.5%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
47.5% (122)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
16.7% (6)
+44.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Giroux
Guentzel
Home
65.7% (461)
49.3% (201)
Away
57.7% (515)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Giroux
Guentzel
P1
60.7%
49.6%
P2
63.7%
45.6%
P3
60.2%
41.6%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
61.5%
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |