Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Dickinson 49.6% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 55.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 86.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 61.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Giroux
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Giroux
Dickinson
Last 8: Giroux 3-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Dickinson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
4
Giroux
Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
51.8% (643)
+8.5%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
66.7% (9)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
38.7% (150)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Giroux
Dickinson
Home
65.9% (337)
48.7% (419)
Away
59.1% (318)
50.4% (383)
By Period
Giroux
Dickinson
P1
62.1%
42.6%
P2
64.5%
55.0%
P3
60.9%
50.0%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |