Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 52.7% vs Erat 47.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 50.1%
Defensive zone
Erat 64.5%
Neutral zone
Erat 60.1%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Giroux
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Giroux
Erat
Last 7: Giroux 3-4 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Erat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
2
3
Giroux
Erat
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (1,257)
44.4% (180)
+7.9%
Power Play
54.9% (377)
44.4% (18)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (126)
60.0% (15)
-7.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Giroux is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,155).
Giroux shoots right. Erat is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Giroux
Erat
Home
56.0% (868)
51.9% (129)
Away
49.9% (892)
35.7% (84)
By Period
Giroux
Erat
P1
53.4%
44.4%
P2
54.0%
45.9%
P3
52.0%
47.2%
OT
41.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
52.9%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |