Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Erat 46.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 73.9%
Defensive zone
Erat 54.4%
Neutral zone
Erat 68.8%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Giroux
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Giroux
Erat
Last 8: Giroux 3-5 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
1
Giroux
Erat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Erat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
2
3
Giroux
Erat
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
46.7% (321)
+9.1%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
45.5% (101)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
41.4% (29)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Giroux
Erat
Home
59.2% (10,252)
53.2% (252)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Giroux
Erat
P1
57.5%
43.4%
P2
56.2%
45.8%
P3
57.3%
50.0%
OT
51.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Martin Erat |