Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ellis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.3% vs Ellis 49.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 97.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 82.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 85.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 93.8%
93.8%
6.2%
Giroux
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Giroux
Ellis
Last 7: Giroux 7-0 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
0
Giroux
Ellis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Ellis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Ellis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,373)
50.6% (170)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (144)
40.0% (35)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Giroux is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,243).
Giroux shoots right. Ellis is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Giroux
Ellis
Home
59.2% (923)
47.8% (113)
Away
54.1% (955)
50.0% (92)
By Period
Giroux
Ellis
P1
60.0%
61.3%
P2
53.2%
45.9%
P3
57.3%
35.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.6%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |