Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ellis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Ellis 46.8% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 98.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 91.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 95.2%
95.2%
4.8%
Giroux
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Giroux
Ellis
Last 10: Giroux 9-1 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
1
Giroux
Ellis
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
Ellis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Ellis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
47.3% (607)
+8.5%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
28.6% (7)
+31.9%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
42.1% (95)
+15.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Giroux
Ellis
Home
59.2% (10,252)
48.5% (303)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Giroux
Ellis
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
56.2%
46.2%
P3
57.3%
41.3%
OT
51.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |