Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 34 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 37-34 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 68.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 80.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 66.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Giroux
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
34
(71 meetings)
37
34
Giroux
Suzuki
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
14
20
Giroux
Suzuki
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
15
9
Giroux
Suzuki
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
8
5
Giroux
Suzuki
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
49.4% (6,327)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
50.7% (1,338)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
43.6% (456)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Giroux
Suzuki
Home
59.2% (10,252)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Giroux
Suzuki
P1
57.5%
48.8%
P2
56.2%
49.1%
P3
57.3%
50.2%
OT
51.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 13, 2024 | OT | 02:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |