Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Zacha 51.7% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 61.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Giroux
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Giroux
Zacha
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
6
Giroux
Zacha
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
53.3% (646)
+7.0%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
53.0% (100)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
38.9% (72)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Giroux
Zacha
Home
65.9% (337)
51.7% (410)
Away
59.1% (318)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Giroux
Zacha
P1
62.1%
57.7%
P2
64.5%
48.9%
P3
60.9%
50.2%
OT
70.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
60.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |