Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 82.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 76.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 73.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Giroux
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Giroux
Holmberg
Last 5: Giroux 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Holmberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
49.0% (245)
+10.6%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
33.3% (3)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
48.6% (37)
+12.8%
On power play, Giroux has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Giroux
Holmberg
Home
65.7% (461)
50.3% (147)
Away
57.7% (515)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Giroux
Holmberg
P1
60.7%
59.2%
P2
63.7%
40.0%
P3
60.2%
46.9%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |