Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Greene 44.7% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 98.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 87.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 90.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Giroux
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Giroux
Greene
Last 9: Giroux 7-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
1
Giroux
Greene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
43.7% (524)
+12.1%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
47.5% (59)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
43.6% (149)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Greene is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Giroux
Greene
Home
59.2% (10,252)
47.4% (382)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Giroux
Greene
P1
57.5%
46.4%
P2
56.2%
38.9%
P3
57.3%
47.0%
OT
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |