Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 35 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 73-68 in 141 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Giroux
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
73
(141 meetings)
68
73
Giroux
Johansen
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
24
26
Giroux
Johansen
50 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
30
26
Giroux
Johansen
56 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
14
21
Giroux
Johansen
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
53.1% (11,017)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
56.2% (2,163)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
50.5% (978)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Giroux
Johansen
Home
59.2% (10,252)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Giroux
Johansen
P1
57.5%
53.2%
P2
56.2%
53.9%
P3
57.3%
52.8%
OT
51.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |