Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 59.2%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Johansen 58.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 68.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Giroux
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Giroux
Johansen
Last 9: Giroux 4-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Giroux
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
59.8% (625)
-0.1%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
58.2% (196)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
51.9% (27)
-0.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Giroux is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Giroux shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Giroux
Johansen
Home
59.5% (580)
60.3% (436)
Away
57.3% (641)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Giroux
Johansen
P1
56.6%
61.3%
P2
58.0%
60.4%
P3
60.8%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
64.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |