Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs McLeod 48.4% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 55.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Giroux
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Giroux
McLeod
Last 7: Giroux 3-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Giroux
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
49.0% (500)
+10.7%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
43.8% (48)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
44.0% (50)
+7.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Giroux
McLeod
Home
59.5% (580)
50.9% (291)
Away
57.3% (641)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Giroux
McLeod
P1
56.6%
44.3%
P2
58.0%
52.4%
P3
60.8%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
58.3%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |