Claude Giroux vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 65.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 62.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 81.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 85.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 65.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
63.2% (302)
47.6% (189)
+15.6%
Power Play
68.8% (93)
100.0% (2)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
64.5% (121)
29.4% (17)
+35.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Giroux is 65.7% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Giroux shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
67.5% (277)
48.5% (132)
Away
61.1% (239)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
65.1%
51.4%
P2
64.7%
41.3%
P3
63.6%
48.5%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
64.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |