Claude Giroux vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 72.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 76.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 63.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
47.6% (231)
+12.7%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
83.3% (12)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
33.3% (21)
+32.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
65.9% (337)
51.2% (164)
Away
59.1% (318)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
62.1%
50.0%
P2
64.5%
46.2%
P3
60.9%
49.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |