Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Poehling 48.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 92.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 67.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 72.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Giroux
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Giroux
Poehling
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
9
2
Giroux
Poehling
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
5
6
Giroux
Poehling
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
4
7
Giroux
Poehling
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
49.4% (2,726)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
51.6% (93)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
41.6% (623)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Giroux
Poehling
Home
59.2% (10,252)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Giroux
Poehling
P1
57.5%
50.9%
P2
56.2%
47.0%
P3
57.3%
46.9%
OT
51.4%
37.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |