Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 70.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 91.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 68.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Giroux
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Giroux
Couturier
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
4
Giroux
Couturier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
1
Giroux
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
53.8% (1,003)
+1.7%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
56.4% (202)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
42.7% (89)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Giroux
Couturier
Home
59.0% (576)
54.4% (680)
Away
56.9% (576)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Giroux
Couturier
P1
57.0%
56.3%
P2
58.1%
51.8%
P3
58.9%
52.2%
OT
52.9%
60.9%
Final 5 min
61.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |