Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Thompson 45.3% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 51.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 62.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Giroux
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Giroux
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
44.9% (642)
+15.4%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
47.9% (94)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
33.3% (33)
+32.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thompson
Home
65.9% (337)
46.0% (391)
Away
59.1% (318)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Giroux
Thompson
P1
62.1%
48.1%
P2
64.5%
44.9%
P3
60.9%
41.2%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |