Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Thompson 43.7% (+18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 91.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 96.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 92.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 93.9%
93.9%
6.1%
Giroux
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Giroux
Thompson
Last 5: Giroux 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
41.9% (597)
+17.7%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
50.5% (95)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
25.0% (12)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Giroux is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Giroux shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thompson
Home
65.7% (461)
47.1% (367)
Away
57.7% (515)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Giroux
Thompson
P1
60.7%
44.2%
P2
63.7%
41.6%
P3
60.2%
42.9%
OT
46.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
63.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |