Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Connolly 47.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 80.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 80.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 78.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Giroux
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Giroux
Connolly
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
8
4
Giroux
Connolly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
4
Giroux
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
2
Giroux
Connolly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
47.4% (1,307)
+8.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
50.2% (251)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
41.9% (186)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Giroux
Connolly
Home
59.2% (10,252)
48.5% (870)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Giroux
Connolly
P1
57.5%
47.4%
P2
56.2%
47.7%
P3
57.3%
47.0%
OT
51.4%
37.8%
Final 5 min
58.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |