Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 76.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 73.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 72.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Giroux
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Giroux
Seguin
Last 5: Giroux 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Giroux
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
56.5% (712)
+1.2%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
59.7% (67)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
44.9% (49)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Giroux is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Giroux shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Giroux
Seguin
Home
62.5% (675)
58.5% (402)
Away
57.5% (541)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Giroux
Seguin
P1
60.6%
58.4%
P2
59.8%
54.7%
P3
60.9%
54.1%
OT
47.4%
72.7%
Final 5 min
64.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |