Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eakin wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 55.4% vs Carter 56.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 59.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Eakin
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eakin
Carter
Last 6: Eakin 3-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Eakin
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Eakin
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (722)
57.9% (885)
-1.4%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
61.7% (133)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (112)
45.4% (119)
+4.6%
On power play, Eakin has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Eakin is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eakin shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Eakin
Carter
Home
57.8% (419)
58.2% (543)
Away
54.4% (441)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Eakin
Carter
P1
53.8%
57.5%
P2
55.6%
57.1%
P3
57.5%
55.8%
OT
71.4%
68.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
56.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | OT | 02:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |