Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 58 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 50.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 70-66 in 136 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.2%
Defensive zone
Eakin 70.5%
Neutral zone
Eakin 55.2%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Eakin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
66
-
70
(136 meetings)
66
70
Eakin
Duchene
Last 10: Eakin 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
21
23
Eakin
Duchene
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
19
15
Eakin
Duchene
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
26
32
Eakin
Duchene
58 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (7,633)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.1% (483)
56.9% (1,665)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,113)
49.1% (468)
-1.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eakin is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,831).
Eakin shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Eakin
Duchene
Home
51.7% (4,680)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.7% (4,549)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Eakin
Duchene
P1
49.6%
54.5%
P2
51.2%
54.5%
P3
51.3%
53.4%
OT
47.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |