Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.8% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Eakin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Eakin
O'Reilly
Last 6: Eakin 5-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
1
0
Eakin
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
1
Eakin
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (493)
53.6% (392)
-3.3%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
47.2% (36)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (91)
50.0% (28)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eakin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Eakin shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Eakin
O'Reilly
Home
49.9% (343)
54.4% (237)
Away
47.0% (283)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Eakin
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
50.3%
P2
46.7%
51.4%
P3
48.0%
55.7%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |