Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 50.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 45-30 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Eakin 87.7%
Defensive zone
Eakin 78.7%
Neutral zone
Eakin 86.5%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Eakin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
45
(75 meetings)
30
45
Eakin
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eakin 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
22
Eakin
O'Reilly
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
12
Eakin
O'Reilly
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
11
Eakin
O'Reilly
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (7,633)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.1% (483)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,113)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eakin is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,831).
Eakin shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Eakin
O'Reilly
Home
51.7% (4,680)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.7% (4,549)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Eakin
O'Reilly
P1
49.6%
55.6%
P2
51.2%
57.0%
P3
51.3%
55.1%
OT
47.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |