Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eakin wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.0% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 53.9%
Defensive zone
Eakin 78.1%
Neutral zone
Eakin 57.3%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Eakin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Eakin
O'Reilly
Last 5: Eakin 0-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Eakin
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Eakin
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,008)
51.5% (194)
-3.9%
Power Play
47.9% (94)
52.3% (107)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
51.4% (70)
-1.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eakin is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Eakin shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Eakin
O'Reilly
Home
46.7% (599)
50.3% (185)
Away
48.9% (624)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Eakin
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
51.0%
P2
48.4%
48.9%
P3
45.8%
53.3%
OT
35.0%
68.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
47.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |