Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 50.7% vs Hertl 54.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Eakin leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.1%
Defensive zone
Eakin 53.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 61.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Eakin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Eakin
Hertl
Last 10: Eakin 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
5
Eakin
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
4
3
Eakin
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
6
1
Eakin
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (7,633)
53.8% (8,268)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.1% (483)
59.3% (1,975)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,113)
46.3% (806)
+0.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eakin is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,831).
Eakin shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Eakin
Hertl
Home
51.7% (4,680)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
49.7% (4,549)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Eakin
Hertl
P1
49.6%
53.6%
P2
51.2%
54.1%
P3
51.3%
55.3%
OT
47.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |