Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glass wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glass 53.6% vs Hertl 57.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 86.0%
Defensive zone
Glass 63.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Glass
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Glass
Hertl
Last 5: Glass 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Glass
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glass
1
0
Glass
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glass
1
0
Glass
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glass
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (692)
58.1% (823)
-4.6%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
56.2% (265)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (44)
62.9% (35)
-3.8%
On power play, Glass has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glass is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Glass shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Glass
Hertl
Home
54.4% (410)
59.7% (561)
Away
53.6% (343)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Glass
Hertl
P1
53.6%
51.6%
P2
50.0%
63.8%
P3
58.4%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glass
50.0%▼
58.5%
54.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Cody Glass |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Cody Glass |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Cody Glass |