Scouting Report
Cody Hodgson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Stepan 45.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 58.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 57.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Hodgson
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Hodgson
Stepan
Last 10: Hodgson 4-6 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Hodgson
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
4
Hodgson
Stepan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
8
Hodgson
Stepan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
43.8% (1,141)
+2.6%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
52.2% (253)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
43.2% (118)
+4.6%
On power play, Stepan has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Hodgson is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Hodgson shoots right. Stepan is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Stepan
Home
48.8% (490)
47.8% (828)
Away
44.7% (479)
42.0% (684)
By Period
Hodgson
Stepan
P1
46.6%
49.5%
P2
51.2%
42.0%
P3
42.4%
44.3%
OT
44.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |