Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.0%). Look for Jeffrey on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Jeffrey 48.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 64.4%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 63.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Last 6: Hodgson 1-5 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
3
Hodgson
Jeffrey
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
0
2
Hodgson
Jeffrey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
46.6% (193)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
57.1% (7)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Hodgson shoots right. Jeffrey is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Home
49.5% (382)
44.2% (113)
Away
44.4% (430)
50.6% (87)
By Period
Hodgson
Jeffrey
P1
48.5%
47.7%
P2
48.9%
41.7%
P3
42.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |