Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jeffrey on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Jeffrey 47.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 62.8%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 62.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Last 7: Hodgson 2-5 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
2
3
Hodgson
Jeffrey
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
0
2
Hodgson
Jeffrey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
47.5% (754)
-1.3%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
37.2% (43)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
55.6% (36)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Jeffrey is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Jeffrey
Home
48.8% (1,431)
49.0% (390)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
46.4% (455)
By Period
Hodgson
Jeffrey
P1
47.9%
46.4%
P2
48.9%
48.1%
P3
42.3%
48.0%
OT
44.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |