Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Nielsen 48.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 59.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Hodgson
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Hodgson
Nielsen
Last 10: Hodgson 6-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
6
0
Hodgson
Nielsen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
5
Hodgson
Nielsen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
4
1
Hodgson
Nielsen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
50.0% (392)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
65.0% (20)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
40.4% (146)
+0.0%
On power play, Nielsen has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Hodgson shoots right. Nielsen is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Nielsen
Home
49.5% (382)
48.9% (274)
Away
44.4% (430)
47.2% (284)
By Period
Hodgson
Nielsen
P1
48.5%
47.9%
P2
48.9%
49.7%
P3
42.5%
46.3%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |