Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 26-20 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 73.5%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 52.0%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 59.0%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Hodgson
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
26
(46 meetings)
20
26
Hodgson
Nielsen
Last 10: Hodgson 5-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
11
4
Hodgson
Nielsen
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
13
Hodgson
Nielsen
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
9
Hodgson
Nielsen
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
49.3% (7,608)
-3.1%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
54.7% (594)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
41.7% (1,420)
+1.0%
On power play, Nielsen has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Nielsen
Home
48.8% (1,431)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Hodgson
Nielsen
P1
47.9%
49.7%
P2
48.9%
47.6%
P3
42.3%
48.2%
OT
44.1%
46.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |