Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Aucoin 48.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 64.9%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 61.3%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 59.4%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Hodgson
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Hodgson
Aucoin
Last 6: Hodgson 6-0 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
0
Hodgson
Aucoin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
0
Hodgson
Aucoin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
47.8% (320)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
59.1% (22)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
50.0% (2)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Hodgson shoots right. Aucoin is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Aucoin
Home
49.5% (382)
52.6% (154)
Away
44.4% (430)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Hodgson
Aucoin
P1
48.5%
42.5%
P2
48.9%
52.9%
P3
42.5%
52.1%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | OT | 03:46 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |