Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Aucoin 48.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 50.7%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 66.1%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 57.0%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Hodgson
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hodgson
Aucoin
Last 9: Hodgson 6-3 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
1
Hodgson
Aucoin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
2
Hodgson
Aucoin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
0
Hodgson
Aucoin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
47.8% (448)
-1.6%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
54.8% (31)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
75.0% (4)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Aucoin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Aucoin
Home
48.8% (1,431)
52.6% (215)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Hodgson
Aucoin
P1
47.9%
45.8%
P2
48.9%
49.2%
P3
42.3%
51.9%
OT
44.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | OT | 03:46 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |