Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Eller 50.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 79.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.5%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 66.0%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Hodgson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
21
(38 meetings)
17
21
Hodgson
Eller
Last 10: Hodgson 1-9 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
7
Hodgson
Eller
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
6
Hodgson
Eller
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
7
8
Hodgson
Eller
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
51.0% (10,168)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
52.8% (621)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
46.7% (1,740)
-4.0%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Eller is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,547).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Eller
Home
48.8% (1,431)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Hodgson
Eller
P1
47.9%
51.2%
P2
48.9%
50.0%
P3
42.3%
50.2%
OT
44.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |