Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Thompson 51.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 91.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 69.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Hodgson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Hodgson
Thompson
Last 10: Hodgson 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Hodgson
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
8
2
Hodgson
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
52.6% (462)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
80.0% (10)
-29.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
44.4% (133)
-4.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Hodgson shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Thompson
Home
49.5% (382)
52.5% (324)
Away
44.4% (430)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Hodgson
Thompson
P1
48.5%
49.0%
P2
48.9%
55.4%
P3
42.5%
48.3%
OT
53.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |