Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 84.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 96.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 92.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 91.6%
8.4%
91.6%
Hodgson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Hodgson
Thompson
Last 10: Hodgson 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
6
0
Hodgson
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hodgson
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
8
5
Hodgson
Thompson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
54.1% (5,812)
-7.9%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
54.8% (135)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
47.9% (1,381)
-5.2%
On even strength, Thompson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Thompson
Home
48.8% (1,431)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Hodgson
Thompson
P1
47.9%
53.2%
P2
48.9%
52.9%
P3
42.3%
52.8%
OT
44.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |