Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 78.1%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 83.9%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 79.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Hodgson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Hodgson
Stastny
Last 10: Hodgson 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Hodgson
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Hodgson
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Hodgson
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
55.0% (1,136)
-8.6%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
57.5% (200)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
53.1% (64)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Stastny
Home
50.3% (286)
58.5% (744)
Away
43.6% (424)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Hodgson
Stastny
P1
48.2%
57.9%
P2
49.2%
54.9%
P3
41.9%
53.0%
OT
22.2%
72.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |