Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 79.7%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 82.2%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 82.4%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Hodgson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Hodgson
Stastny
Last 10: Hodgson 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Hodgson
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hodgson
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Hodgson
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
54.6% (10,616)
-8.4%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
59.1% (1,994)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Stastny
Home
48.8% (1,431)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Hodgson
Stastny
P1
47.9%
56.3%
P2
48.9%
55.4%
P3
42.3%
53.5%
OT
44.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |