Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Nash 50.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 66.6%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 65.5%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 65.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Hodgson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hodgson
Nash
Last 5: Hodgson 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Hodgson
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Hodgson
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Hodgson
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (317)
50.1% (752)
-5.9%
Power Play
55.0% (60)
53.8% (104)
+1.2%
On even strength, Nash has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Hodgson is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Hodgson shoots right. Nash is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Nash
Home
45.5% (202)
51.0% (502)
Away
46.3% (175)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Hodgson
Nash
P1
51.5%
49.4%
P2
41.4%
50.9%
P3
44.1%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
45.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |