Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Nash 48.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 57.1%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Hodgson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hodgson
Nash
Last 9: Hodgson 2-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Hodgson
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Hodgson
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
48.7% (4,621)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
51.0% (249)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
44.9% (550)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Nash
Home
48.8% (1,431)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Hodgson
Nash
P1
47.9%
49.0%
P2
48.9%
47.9%
P3
42.3%
48.0%
OT
44.1%
68.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Riley Nash |