Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 90.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 82.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hodgson 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
6
1
Hodgson
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Hodgson
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
52.5% (1,177)
-6.1%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
54.6% (130)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
52.8% (108)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. O'Reilly is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Home
50.3% (286)
54.9% (669)
Away
43.6% (424)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Hodgson
O'Reilly
P1
48.2%
52.4%
P2
49.2%
56.1%
P3
41.9%
49.8%
OT
22.2%
57.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 01:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |