Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 89.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 84.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 81.3%
18.7%
81.3%
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hodgson 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
7
1
Hodgson
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Hodgson
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Hodgson
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
56.2% (15,103)
-10.0%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
58.7% (3,395)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
51.6% (2,769)
-8.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,572).
Home / Away
Hodgson
O'Reilly
Home
48.8% (1,431)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Hodgson
O'Reilly
P1
47.9%
55.5%
P2
48.9%
57.0%
P3
42.3%
55.2%
OT
44.1%
62.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 01:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |