Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Johnson 48.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 68.2%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 50.4%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Hodgson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Hodgson
Johnson
Last 10: Hodgson 2-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
5
Hodgson
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Hodgson
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
1
Hodgson
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
48.7% (941)
-2.3%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
49.6% (133)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
44.8% (201)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hodgson is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Hodgson shoots right. Johnson is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Johnson
Home
48.8% (490)
50.5% (588)
Away
44.7% (479)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Hodgson
Johnson
P1
46.6%
49.4%
P2
51.2%
47.3%
P3
42.4%
48.1%
OT
44.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |