Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 54.1%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 54.2%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Hodgson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Hodgson
Johnson
Last 10: Hodgson 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
4
7
Hodgson
Johnson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Hodgson
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
5
3
Hodgson
Johnson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
49.8% (5,396)
-3.6%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
54.6% (885)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
42.3% (707)
+0.4%
On power play, Johnson has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Johnson
Home
48.8% (1,431)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Hodgson
Johnson
P1
47.9%
50.1%
P2
48.9%
50.6%
P3
42.3%
48.4%
OT
44.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |