Scouting Report
Cody Hodgson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 69.4%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 50.1%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hodgson
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
41.2% (274)
+5.0%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
45.0% (40)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
26.3% (19)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Toffoli is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Toffoli
Home
48.8% (1,431)
44.5% (155)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Hodgson
Toffoli
P1
47.9%
47.4%
P2
48.9%
39.8%
P3
42.3%
32.9%
OT
44.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%